Blog

Market Update for the Quarter Ending March 31, 2021

U.S. stock markets saw gains for the month and quarter, but not all stocks did well. Higher interest rates led to some volatility, especially for growth and technology companies.

Economic News Showing Surprising Strength

For the fourth week in a row, the big picture continues to be very positive. On the medical front, all three major data series—new cases, positive testing rates, and hospitalizations—have continued to trend down, while vaccinations continue to scale up. If these trends persist, we are through the worst of the pandemic and should see further improvement.

Has Washington Gone Blue?

Wednesday, January 6, 2021, will be remembered in the history books—for a couple of reasons. First, while Congress met to count the inaugural votes, we anticipated that members from both houses would be objecting to electors from some states.

2021 Market Outlook

We’re nearing the end of a hard year, with the pandemic raging once again and the economy starting to slow. On the other hand, vaccines will soon be coming into play, companies are adapting, and there is the possibility of a spending boom next year. Despite risks ahead (e.g., the chance of another surge of infections with holiday travel), could 2021 be better for medical news, for the economy, and for the markets?

Looking Back at the Markets in October and Ahead Through November 2020

Authored by Brad McMillan, Commonwealth CIO:

A lot has changed in the past week. I normally try and get this post up earlier in the month, but with everything that has happened—and which has demanded comment—this is the earliest I could fit it in. But that is a good thing, as the "looking forward" piece is now going to be rather different than it would have been last week.

Is a Hopeful Market a Vulnerable One?

As of Monday, October 12th, the markets spiked again, taking the major indices back close to new highs. The S&P 500 closed at 3,534, less than 2 percent below the all-time high of September 2, just before markets tumbled. The Dow and Nasdaq results were similar. Clearly, the markets think everything is awesome. Is everything awesome?

Will the Election Sink the Markets?

Authored by Brad McMillan, Commonwealth CIO:

Recently, I have been getting a number of questions from people who are scared about what might happen to the financial markets at election time. The fear is that if we get a disputed election, it could lead to disruption and possibly even violence.

A Look Back at the Markets in August and Ahead to September 2020

After a great month like August, expectations and momentum are high, and you could reasonably expect to see another great month ahead. That scenario happens, and it is certainly what we are seeing in the first days of September. But taking a detailed look at last month’s results suggests some reasons for caution.

Election Watch

We hope you are enjoying your summer.  This has not been an easy year for a multitude of reasons but the weather has been great and it has been nice to get outdoors to get some fresh air and sunshine. The news cycle will be very active in the next few months with the election just around the corner.

Despite Localized Outbreaks, Recovery Remains On Track

The bad news this past week is that there are signs of localized outbreaks in several states, specifically Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas. All have shown significant spikes in cases in recent days. But the good news is that outside these and a handful of other states, the virus remains under control, and there is still no national second wave of infections.